Mutuel field heavy favorite in Kentucky Derby Future Wager
Horseracing Betting Lines
02/12/2012 - Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first of three Kentucky Derby Future Wagers for the 2012 Run for the Roses closed Sunday night with the mutuel field being a heavy favorite. The top single three-year-old was Union Rags.
The Future Wager, comprised of 23 individual three-year-olds plus the mutuel field, began Friday at noon (et) and concluded Sunday at 6 p.m. (et).
The mutuel field opened as the 9-5 morning-line favorite and was bet down to 3-2 when the wagering concluded. The mutuel field includes all three-year-olds not listed in the pool.
Union Rags closed at 7-1 after opening at 10-1. The colt is expected to make his 2012 debut at Gulfstream Park in the Fountain of Youth Stakes on February 26. He was undefeated heading into last November's Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs. He finished second, a head behind Hansen.
Algorithms, winner of the Holy Bull Stakes, was the third choice at 12-1. He opened as the top individual three-year-old at odds of 8-1.
Eclipse Award winner Hansen was 12-1 in the opening odds and closed at 26-1.
Here is the complete list of the 24 betting interests for the first Kentucky Derby Future Wager.
Number Wagering Interest Morning line odds Final odds:
1. Algorithms 8-1 12-1
2. Alpha 20-1 19-1
3. Battle Hardened 30-1 46-1
4. Creative Cause 20-1 17-1
5. Discreet Dancer 15-1 30-1
6. Dullahan 20-1 40-1
7. El Padrino 20-1 16-1
8. Empire Way 50-1 33-1
9. Ever So Lucky 20-1 55-1
10. Fed Biz 20-1 21-1
11. Gemologist 20-1 22-1
12. Hansen 12-1 26-1
13. I'll Have Another 20-1 29-1
14. Junebugred 50-1 58-1
15. Liaison 20-1 56-1
16. Longview Drive 50-1 99-1
17. Midnight Transfer 50-1 67-1
18. Mr. Bowling 50-1 85-1
19. Out of Bounds 20-1 23-1
20. Rousing Sermon 30-1 71-1
21. Sabercat 30-1 34-1
22. Take Charge Indy 30-1 42-1
23. Union Rags 10-1 7-1
24. All Other 3YOs (field) 9-5 3-2
The remaining two Future Wagers will be held March 2-4 and March 30-April 1.
The 138th Kentucky Derby will be conducted on Saturday, May 5 at Churchill Downs.
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Super Bowl 2009 Betting
Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositionsUnderdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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